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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 44.25%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 28.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gillingham in this match.
Result | ||
Gillingham | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
44.25% | 27.22% | 28.53% |
Both teams to score 47.99% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.98% | 57.02% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.09% | 77.91% |
Gillingham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.38% | 25.62% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.49% | 60.51% |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.52% | 35.48% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.76% | 72.24% |
Score Analysis |
Gillingham | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
1-0 @ 12.37% 2-1 @ 8.73% 2-0 @ 8.43% 3-1 @ 3.97% 3-0 @ 3.83% 3-2 @ 2.05% 4-1 @ 1.35% 4-0 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.22% Total : 44.25% | 1-1 @ 12.82% 0-0 @ 9.09% 2-2 @ 4.53% Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.21% | 0-1 @ 9.42% 1-2 @ 6.65% 0-2 @ 4.88% 1-3 @ 2.3% 0-3 @ 1.69% 2-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.04% Total : 28.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 39 | 25 | 8 | 6 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 83 |
2 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 39 | 23 | 12 | 4 | 78 | 31 | 47 | 81 |
3 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 40 | 23 | 12 | 5 | 68 | 32 | 36 | 81 |
4 | Barnsley | 39 | 23 | 6 | 10 | 67 | 36 | 31 | 75 |
5 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 39 | 19 | 10 | 10 | 53 | 31 | 22 | 67 |
6 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 40 | 21 | 4 | 15 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 67 |
7 | Derby CountyDerby | 40 | 19 | 10 | 11 | 61 | 41 | 20 | 67 |
8 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 40 | 18 | 8 | 14 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 62 |
9 | Portsmouth | 40 | 16 | 14 | 10 | 55 | 45 | 10 | 62 |
10 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 39 | 16 | 7 | 16 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 55 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 40 | 14 | 11 | 15 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 53 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 40 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 59 | 51 | 8 | 52 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 40 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 50 |
14 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 39 | 10 | 19 | 10 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 49 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 51 | 60 | -9 | 48 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 40 | 12 | 9 | 19 | 34 | 51 | -17 | 45 |
17 | Port Vale | 40 | 12 | 9 | 19 | 40 | 60 | -20 | 45 |
18 | Burton Albion | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 49 | 71 | -22 | 45 |
19 | MK Dons | 40 | 11 | 8 | 21 | 37 | 57 | -20 | 41 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 39 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 40 | 50 | -10 | 39 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 39 | 9 | 11 | 19 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 38 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 39 | 10 | 6 | 23 | 32 | 60 | -28 | 36 |
23 | Morecambe | 41 | 7 | 13 | 21 | 38 | 71 | -33 | 34 |
24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 40 | 6 | 8 | 26 | 29 | 74 | -45 | 26 |
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