Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 65.49%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 14.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.85%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.44%), while for a VVV-Venlo win it was 0-1 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.
