Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 36.47%. A win for Talleres had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.61%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Talleres win was 1-0 (11.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
