Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 39.48%. A win for Independiente had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Independiente win was 1-0 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
