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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 59.71%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 19.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.61%) and 0-1 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.29%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 2-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
Result | ||
Union Berlin | Draw | Bayern Munich |
19.79% | 20.5% | 59.71% |
Both teams to score 59.89% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.24% | 36.76% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.07% | 58.93% |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.08% | 31.92% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.63% | 68.37% |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.97% | 12.03% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.49% | 37.51% |
Score Analysis |
Union Berlin | Draw | Bayern Munich |
2-1 @ 5.3% 1-0 @ 4.39% 2-0 @ 2.5% 3-2 @ 2.14% 3-1 @ 2.02% 3-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.49% Total : 19.79% | 1-1 @ 9.29% 2-2 @ 5.62% 0-0 @ 3.84% 3-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 0.25% Total : 20.5% | 1-2 @ 9.83% 0-2 @ 8.61% 0-1 @ 8.13% 1-3 @ 6.94% 0-3 @ 6.08% 2-3 @ 3.96% 1-4 @ 3.68% 0-4 @ 3.22% 2-4 @ 2.1% 1-5 @ 1.56% 0-5 @ 1.36% Other @ 4.23% Total : 59.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 64 | 21 | 43 | 46 |
2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 22 | 15 | 1 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 46 |
3 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 43 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 42 |
5 | Freiburg | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 41 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 43 | 31 | 12 | 38 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 33 |
8 | Mainz 05Mainz | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 32 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 30 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 29 |
11 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 28 |
12 | FC Koln | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 26 |
13 | Augsburg | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 24 |
14 | Hertha Berlin | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 20 |
15 | Stuttgart | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 19 |
16 | Hoffenheim | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 19 |
17 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 22 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 19 |
18 | Schalke 04Schalke | 22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 42 | -26 | 16 |
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