Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 60.93%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Goias had a probability of 16.38%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.95%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Goias win it was 0-1 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.
