Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sint-Truiden win with a probability of 43.94%. A win for Leuven had a probability of 31.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sint-Truiden win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Leuven win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sint-Truiden would win this match.
