Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kortrijk win with a probability of 48.24%. A win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 26.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kortrijk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Sint-Truiden win was 0-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
