Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 66.29%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 14.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 1-0 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.01%), while for a Sint-Truiden win it was 1-2 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.