Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 54.64%. A win for Leuven had a probability of 22.72% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest Leuven win was 1-2 (5.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
