Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 48.1%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 28.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.14%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-2 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lille | Draw | Lyon |
48.1% ( 0.01) | 23.31% ( -0) | 28.59% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 60.55% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.36% ( 0.01) | 40.64% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.97% ( 0.01) | 63.02% ( -0.01) |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.87% ( 0.01) | 17.13% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.64% ( 0.02) | 47.36% ( -0.01) |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.07% ( -0) | 26.93% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.74% ( -0) | 62.26% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Lille | Draw | Lyon |
2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.14% 2-0 @ 7.18% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.54% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.22% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.63% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.44% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.86% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.6% Other @ 4.06% Total : 48.1% | 1-1 @ 10.67% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.61% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.59% ( 0) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.3% | 1-2 @ 7.01% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.05% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.97% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.06% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.7% 0-3 @ 1.74% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.05% Total : 28.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 37 | 27 | 4 | 6 | 87 | 37 | 50 | 85 |
2 | Lens | 37 | 24 | 9 | 4 | 65 | 28 | 37 | 81 |
3 | Marseille | 37 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
4 | Lille | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Rennes | 37 | 20 | 5 | 12 | 67 | 38 | 29 | 65 |
6 | MonacoMonaco | 37 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 69 | 56 | 13 | 65 |
7 | Lyon | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
8 | Clermont | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 56 |
9 | Nice | 37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 55 |
10 | Lorient | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 52 |
11 | Reims | 37 | 12 | 15 | 10 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 51 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 37 | 14 | 5 | 18 | 62 | 61 | 1 | 47 |
13 | Toulouse | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 45 |
14 | Brest | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 44 |
15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 40 |
16 | Auxerre | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 35 |
17 | NantesNantes | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 33 |
R | Troyes | 37 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 80 | -36 | 23 |
R | Ajaccio | 37 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 22 | 74 | -52 | 23 |
R | Angers | 37 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 18 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |