Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 48.66%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Lille had a probability of 25.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Lille win it was 0-1 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lyon | Draw | Lille |
48.66% | 25.86% | 25.48% |
Both teams to score 49.72% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.3% | 53.7% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.81% | 75.19% |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.91% | 22.08% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.56% | 55.44% |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.81% | 36.19% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.03% | 72.97% |
Score Analysis |
Lyon | Draw | Lille |
1-0 @ 12.07% 2-1 @ 9.27% 2-0 @ 9.11% 3-1 @ 4.66% 3-0 @ 4.59% 3-2 @ 2.37% 4-1 @ 1.76% 4-0 @ 1.73% Other @ 3.1% Total : 48.66% | 1-1 @ 12.26% 0-0 @ 7.99% 2-2 @ 4.71% Other @ 0.89% Total : 25.85% | 0-1 @ 8.12% 1-2 @ 6.24% 0-2 @ 4.13% 1-3 @ 2.11% 2-3 @ 1.6% 0-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 1.88% Total : 25.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 26 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 66 | 25 | 41 | 63 |
2 | Marseille | 26 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 49 | 25 | 24 | 55 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 55 | 36 | 19 | 51 |
4 | Lens | 26 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 51 |
5 | Rennes | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 45 | 29 | 16 | 46 |
6 | Lille | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 33 | 13 | 45 |
7 | Nice | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 42 |
8 | Reims | 26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 40 |
9 | Lorient | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 38 | 36 | 2 | 40 |
10 | Lyon | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 39 | 28 | 11 | 39 |
11 | Clermont | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 34 |
12 | Toulouse | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 32 |
13 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 30 |
14 | NantesNantes | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 27 | 34 | -7 | 28 |
15 | Brest | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 23 |
16 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 22 |
17 | Auxerre | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 22 |
18 | Ajaccio | 26 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 20 | 47 | -27 | 21 |
19 | Troyes | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 36 | 57 | -21 | 20 |
20 | Angers | 26 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 21 | 58 | -37 | 10 |
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