Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perth Glory win with a probability of 44.82%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perth Glory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.32%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
