Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 52.24%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 24.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brisbane Roar would win this match.
