Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 48.13%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 24.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.7%) and 1-2 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.67%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 1-0 (9.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Danubio would win this match.
