Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for Roma had a probability of 35.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Roma win was 2-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Roma | Draw | Juventus |
35.92% | 24.95% | 39.13% |
Both teams to score 57.86% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.5% | 45.49% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.17% | 67.82% |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.22% | 24.78% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.64% | 59.35% |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.92% | 23.07% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.08% | 56.91% |
Score Analysis |
Roma | Draw | Juventus |
2-1 @ 8.16% 1-0 @ 7.98% 2-0 @ 5.56% 3-1 @ 3.8% 3-2 @ 2.78% 3-0 @ 2.59% 4-1 @ 1.32% 4-2 @ 0.97% 4-0 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.86% Total : 35.92% | 1-1 @ 11.69% 2-2 @ 5.98% 0-0 @ 5.72% 3-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.94% | 1-2 @ 8.58% 0-1 @ 8.39% 0-2 @ 6.15% 1-3 @ 4.19% 0-3 @ 3.01% 2-3 @ 2.93% 1-4 @ 1.54% 0-4 @ 1.1% 2-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.18% Total : 39.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 25 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 58 | 16 | 42 | 65 |
2 | Inter Milan | 25 | 16 | 2 | 7 | 46 | 28 | 18 | 50 |
3 | Lazio | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 41 | 19 | 22 | 48 |
4 | AC Milan | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 42 | 32 | 10 | 47 |
5 | Roma | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 44 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 42 | 28 | 14 | 42 |
7 | Juventus | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 40 | 19 | 21 | 35 |
8 | Bologna | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 31 | 33 | -2 | 35 |
9 | Udinese | 25 | 7 | 11 | 7 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 32 |
10 | Monza | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 32 |
11 | Torino | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 31 |
12 | Fiorentina | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 31 |
13 | Empoli | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 28 |
14 | SassuoloSassuolo | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 27 | 35 | -8 | 27 |
15 | Lecce | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 27 |
16 | Salernitana | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 25 |
17 | SpeziaSpezia | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 21 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 18 |
19 | Sampdoria | 25 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 11 | 39 | -28 | 12 |
20 | Cremonese | 24 | 1 | 9 | 14 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 12 |
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