Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 47.6%. A draw had a probability of 30.3% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 22.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (7.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.68%), while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
