Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 42.49%. A draw had a probability of 31% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 26.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 2-1 (7.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.56%), while for a Cartagena win it was 0-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Oviedo would win this match.
