Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 39.61%. A draw had a probability of 30.6% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 29.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.1%) and 2-1 (7.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.51%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cartagena would win this match.
