Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 38.8%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 0-1 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Santa Clara in this match.
Result | ||
Santa Clara | Draw | Rio Ave |
38.8% | 27.45% | 33.75% |
Both teams to score 49.27% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.67% | 56.33% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.64% | 77.36% |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.76% | 28.24% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.05% | 63.95% |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.65% | 31.35% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.29% | 67.71% |
Score Analysis |
Santa Clara | Draw | Rio Ave |
1-0 @ 11.19% 2-1 @ 8.21% 2-0 @ 7.08% 3-1 @ 3.46% 3-0 @ 2.98% 3-2 @ 2.01% 4-1 @ 1.09% 4-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.83% Total : 38.79% | 1-1 @ 12.98% 0-0 @ 8.85% 2-2 @ 4.76% Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.45% | 0-1 @ 10.26% 1-2 @ 7.53% 0-2 @ 5.96% 1-3 @ 2.91% 0-3 @ 2.3% 2-3 @ 1.84% Other @ 2.94% Total : 33.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 24 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 61 | 13 | 48 | 65 |
2 | Porto | 24 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 55 | 17 | 38 | 57 |
3 | Braga | 24 | 18 | 1 | 5 | 54 | 22 | 32 | 55 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 24 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 49 | 23 | 26 | 50 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 40 |
6 | AroucaArouca | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 37 |
7 | Casa Pia | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 35 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 30 |
9 | Rio AveRio Ave | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 30 |
10 | BoavistaBoavista | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 30 |
11 | Vizela | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 29 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 29 |
13 | ChavesChaves | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 29 |
14 | PortimonensePortimonense | 24 | 8 | 2 | 14 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 26 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 22 |
16 | Maritimo | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 17 | 45 | -28 | 16 |
17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 24 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 18 | 42 | -24 | 15 |
18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 24 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 15 |
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