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The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between West Ham United and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man City 3-2 Aston Villa
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

We said: West Ham United 2-2 Aston Villa

Despite West Ham sitting higher in the table, there is an argument that Villa are the marginal favourites ahead of this contest. Nevertheless, West Ham have been playing well without converting their chances, and if everything comes together at the weekend, we can see an entertaining draw being played out in the capital. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 40.66%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 31.79% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.

Result
West Ham UnitedDrawAston Villa
40.66%27.55%31.79%
Both teams to score 48.47%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.89%57.11%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.01%77.98%
West Ham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.44%27.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.92%63.08%
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.91%33.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.31%69.69%
Score Analysis
    West Ham United 40.65%
    Aston Villa 31.78%
    Draw 27.54%
West Ham UnitedDrawAston Villa
1-0 @ 11.75%
2-1 @ 8.38%
2-0 @ 7.57%
3-1 @ 3.6%
3-0 @ 3.25%
3-2 @ 1.99%
4-1 @ 1.16%
4-0 @ 1.05%
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 40.65%
1-1 @ 12.99%
0-0 @ 9.12%
2-2 @ 4.63%
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.54%
0-1 @ 10.08%
1-2 @ 7.19%
0-2 @ 5.58%
1-3 @ 2.65%
0-3 @ 2.06%
2-3 @ 1.71%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 31.78%

How you voted: West Ham vs Aston Villa

West Ham United
42.4%
Draw
23.6%
Aston Villa
34.0%
144
Head to Head
Oct 31, 2021 4.30pm
Aston Villa
1-4
West Ham
Watkins (34')
McGinn (79')
Konsa (50')
Johnson (7'), Rice (38'), Fornals (80'), Bowen (84')
Fornals (79'), Bowen (79')
Feb 3, 2021 8.15pm
Aston Villa
1-3
West Ham
Watkins (81')
Luiz (70')
Soucek (51'), Lingard (56', 83')
Cresswell (65')
Nov 30, 2020 8pm
rhs 2.0
Todays Game Header Right
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal27213362253766
2Manchester CityMan City27194467254261
3Manchester UnitedMan Utd2615564135650
4Tottenham HotspurSpurs27153949371248
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle251111337181944
6Liverpool26126847291842
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton24116745311439
8Fulham27116103837139
9Brentford2591154033738
10Chelsea2610792726137
11Aston Villa26105113239-735
12Crystal Palace2669112133-1227
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2776142037-1727
14Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2668122147-2626
15Everton2767142038-1825
16Leicester CityLeicester2673163746-924
17West Ham UnitedWest Ham2666142434-1024
18Bournemouth2666142551-2624
19Leeds UnitedLeeds2658133142-1123
20Southampton2664162041-2122

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