Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 64.55%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 14.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.66%) and 1-2 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 1-0 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.