Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 61.16%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Portadown had a probability of 17.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.9%) and 0-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for a Portadown win it was 2-1 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.
