Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 71.89%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Portadown had a probability of 11.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 1-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.91%), while for a Portadown win it was 1-2 (3.32%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.
