Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 57.01%. A win for Portadown had a probability of 21.52% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.53%) and 0-1 (8.52%). The likeliest Portadown win was 2-1 (5.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Crusaders in this match.
