MX23RW : Saturday, September 17 07:12:50| >> :300:86500:86500:
May 4, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Linfield
3 - 1
Crusaders
Stafford (15'), Lavery (58'), Forsythe (84' og.)
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kennedy (47')
Caddell (66'), Joe Burns (71')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Linfield and Crusaders.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 51.04%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Crusaders had a probability of 23.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.54%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Crusaders win it was 0-1 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.

Result
LinfieldDrawCrusaders
51.04%25.21%23.75%
Both teams to score 49.92%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.41%52.59%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.76%74.24%
Linfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.39%20.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.84%53.16%
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.89%37.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.1%73.9%
Score Analysis
    Linfield 51.04%
    Crusaders 23.75%
    Draw 25.21%
LinfieldDrawCrusaders
1-0 @ 12.08%
2-0 @ 9.54%
2-1 @ 9.46%
3-0 @ 5.02%
3-1 @ 4.98%
3-2 @ 2.47%
4-0 @ 1.98%
4-1 @ 1.97%
4-2 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 51.04%
1-1 @ 11.97%
0-0 @ 7.65%
2-2 @ 4.69%
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 25.21%
0-1 @ 7.58%
1-2 @ 5.94%
0-2 @ 3.76%
1-3 @ 1.96%
2-3 @ 1.55%
0-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 23.75%

Head to Head
Mar 19, 2021 7.45pm
Crusaders
1-2
Linfield
Clarke (16')
Weir (12'), O'Rourke (65')
O'Rourke (90+4')
Cooper (53'), Lavery (66')
Callacher (49'), Haughey (67'), Lavery (90+4')
Feb 6, 2021 5.30pm
Crusaders
1-2
Linfield
Lowry (88')
Quinn (72'), Callacher (90+2')
Haughey (60'), Nasseri (73')
Oct 30, 2020 7.45pm
Linfield
2-1
Crusaders
Waterworth (40' pen.), Quinn (84')
Lecky (87')
Lowry (42'), Heatley (45+2')
Feb 21, 2020 7.45pm
Linfield
4-0
Crusaders
Callacher (2', 64'), Waterworth (50'), Fallon (90')

Beverland (88')
Dec 21, 2019 3pm
Linfield
1-1
Crusaders
Cooper (85')
Caddell (8')
rhs 2.0
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