Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 49.6%. A win for Portadown had a probability of 26.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Portadown win was 2-1 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.
