Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 42.85%. A win for Dijon had a probability of 28.63% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.5%) and 2-1 (8.27%). The likeliest Dijon win was 0-1 (10.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
