Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 37.21%. A win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 35.44% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Santos Laguna win was 0-1 (10.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
