Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos Laguna win with a probability of 56.51%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 18.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos Laguna win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.56%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Necaxa win it was 0-1 (7.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santos Laguna would win this match.
