Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 41.03%. A win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 31.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Cruz Azul win was 0-1 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
