Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Cruz Azul and Toluca.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 59.89%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 17.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.58%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Toluca win it was 0-1 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.
