Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 42.85%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 30.16% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.94%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 1-0 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.
