Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Necaxa win with a probability of 44.01%. A win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 29.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Necaxa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Atletico San Luis win was 0-1 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Necaxa in this match.
