Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 40.06%. A win for Pumas had a probability of 33.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Pumas win was 1-0 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
