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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 42.29%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 31.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 1-0 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
MK Dons | Draw | Portsmouth |
31.1% ( -0.04) | 26.61% ( 0.01) | 42.29% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 51.06% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.31% ( -0.06) | 53.69% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.82% ( -0.05) | 75.18% ( 0.05) |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.18% ( -0.06) | 31.81% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.75% ( -0.07) | 68.25% ( 0.07) |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.89% ( -0.01) | 25.11% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.18% ( -0.02) | 59.81% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
MK Dons | Draw | Portsmouth |
1-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.24% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.76% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.8% Total : 31.1% | 1-1 @ 12.64% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.6% | 0-1 @ 11.04% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.74% 0-2 @ 7.63% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.02% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.51% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.39% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 2.45% Total : 42.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 46 | 31 | 8 | 7 | 82 | 47 | 35 | 101 |
P | Ipswich TownIpswich | 46 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 101 | 35 | 66 | 98 |
3 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 46 | 28 | 12 | 6 | 81 | 37 | 44 | 96 |
4 | Barnsley | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 80 | 47 | 33 | 86 |
5 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 62 | 36 | 26 | 81 |
6 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 24 | 5 | 17 | 75 | 54 | 21 | 77 |
7 | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 67 | 46 | 21 | 76 |
8 | Portsmouth | 46 | 17 | 19 | 10 | 61 | 50 | 11 | 70 |
9 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 59 | 51 | 8 | 69 |
10 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 70 | 66 | 4 | 62 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 14 | 20 | 12 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 62 |
12 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 17 | 8 | 21 | 52 | 61 | -9 | 59 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 58 |
14 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 64 | 68 | -4 | 56 |
15 | Burton Albion | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 57 | 79 | -22 | 56 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 45 | 61 | -16 | 54 |
17 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 58 | 73 | -15 | 53 |
18 | Port Vale | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 48 | 71 | -23 | 49 |
19 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 47 |
20 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 13 | 7 | 26 | 41 | 68 | -27 | 46 |
R | MK Dons | 46 | 11 | 12 | 23 | 44 | 66 | -22 | 45 |
22 | Morecambe | 46 | 10 | 14 | 22 | 47 | 78 | -31 | 44 |
R | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 46 | 11 | 11 | 24 | 40 | 77 | -37 | 44 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 46 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 31 | 89 | -58 | 27 |
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