Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 68.9%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Emmen had a probability of 13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 1-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.51%), while for a Emmen win it was 1-2 (3.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.
