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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 56.73%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Emmen had a probability of 19.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Emmen win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.
Result | ||
Heerenveen | Draw | Emmen |
56.73% | 23.46% | 19.81% |
Both teams to score 50.01% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.14% | 49.85% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.15% | 71.85% |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.63% | 17.37% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.23% | 47.77% |
Emmen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.52% | 39.48% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.83% | 76.17% |
Score Analysis |
Heerenveen | Draw | Emmen |
1-0 @ 12% 2-0 @ 10.5% 2-1 @ 9.76% 3-0 @ 6.13% 3-1 @ 5.7% 4-0 @ 2.68% 3-2 @ 2.65% 4-1 @ 2.49% 4-2 @ 1.16% 5-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.71% Total : 56.72% | 1-1 @ 11.15% 0-0 @ 6.86% 2-2 @ 4.54% Other @ 0.91% Total : 23.45% | 0-1 @ 6.37% 1-2 @ 5.18% 0-2 @ 2.96% 1-3 @ 1.61% 2-3 @ 1.41% 0-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.36% Total : 19.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Feyenoord | 29 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 70 | 27 | 43 | 70 |
2 | Ajax | 29 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 79 | 29 | 50 | 62 |
3 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 29 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 78 | 35 | 43 | 62 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 29 | 17 | 6 | 6 | 56 | 32 | 24 | 57 |
5 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 47 | 30 | 17 | 52 |
6 | FC Twente | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 48 | 23 | 25 | 51 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 45 |
8 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 38 |
9 | Heerenveen | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 36 | 45 | -9 | 38 |
10 | NECNijmegen | 29 | 7 | 14 | 8 | 38 | 34 | 4 | 35 |
11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 40 | 50 | -10 | 33 |
12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 35 | 54 | -19 | 32 |
13 | Vitesse | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 30 |
14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 30 |
15 | EmmenEmmen | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 29 | 51 | -22 | 28 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 29 | 8 | 3 | 18 | 27 | 66 | -39 | 27 |
17 | Groningen | 29 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 28 | 59 | -31 | 17 |
18 | Cambuur | 30 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 21 | 60 | -39 | 16 |
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