Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 68.53%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Emmen had a probability of 13.83%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.63%) and 0-1 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.05%), while for a Emmen win it was 2-1 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
