Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Talleres win with a probability of 43.8%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 27.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Talleres win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.8%) and 2-1 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.1%), while for a Independiente win it was 0-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
