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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 49.46%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 25.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.52%) and 0-2 (8.57%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 1-0 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Union Berlin | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
25.93% | 24.61% | 49.46% |
Both teams to score 53.94% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.65% | 48.35% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.51% | 70.49% |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.07% | 32.92% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.5% | 69.5% |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.42% | 19.58% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.49% | 51.5% |
Score Analysis |
Union Berlin | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
1-0 @ 7.16% 2-1 @ 6.49% 2-0 @ 3.98% 3-1 @ 2.4% 3-2 @ 1.96% 3-0 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.47% Total : 25.93% | 1-1 @ 11.67% 0-0 @ 6.45% 2-2 @ 5.29% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.6% | 0-1 @ 10.51% 1-2 @ 9.52% 0-2 @ 8.57% 1-3 @ 5.18% 0-3 @ 4.66% 2-3 @ 2.88% 1-4 @ 2.11% 0-4 @ 1.9% 2-4 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.96% Total : 49.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 30 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 67 | 40 | 27 | 61 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 79 | 33 | 46 | 59 |
3 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 44 | 31 | 13 | 56 |
4 | Freiburg | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 56 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 54 | 37 | 17 | 54 |
6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 53 | 41 | 12 | 48 |
7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 49 | 40 | 9 | 45 |
8 | Wolfsburg | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 43 |
9 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 50 | 46 | 4 | 43 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 36 |
11 | FC Koln | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 40 | 48 | -8 | 35 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 48 | 58 | -10 | 35 |
13 | Augsburg | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 55 | -16 | 31 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 29 |
15 | Stuttgart | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 28 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 30 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 28 |
17 | Schalke 04Schalke | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 28 | 57 | -29 | 27 |
18 | Hertha Berlin | 29 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 35 | 59 | -24 | 22 |
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