Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 63.42%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Lokomotive Leipzig had a probability of 17.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.32%) and 0-1 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.93%), while for a Lokomotive Leipzig win it was 2-1 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.