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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 63.64%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 17.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.94%) and 0-1 (7.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.64%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 2-1 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Union Berlin | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
17.16% | 19.19% | 63.64% |
Both teams to score 59.53% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.09% | 34.9% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.11% | 56.88% |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.47% | 33.53% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.83% | 70.16% |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.55% | 10.44% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.96% | 34.03% |
Score Analysis |
Union Berlin | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
2-1 @ 4.72% 1-0 @ 3.83% 2-0 @ 2.09% 3-2 @ 1.94% 3-1 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.86% Total : 17.16% | 1-1 @ 8.64% 2-2 @ 5.34% 0-0 @ 3.5% 3-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 0.25% Total : 19.19% | 1-2 @ 9.77% 0-2 @ 8.94% 0-1 @ 7.91% 1-3 @ 7.36% 0-3 @ 6.73% 1-4 @ 4.16% 2-3 @ 4.02% 0-4 @ 3.8% 2-4 @ 2.27% 1-5 @ 1.88% 0-5 @ 1.72% 2-5 @ 1.03% Other @ 4.07% Total : 63.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 30 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 67 | 40 | 27 | 61 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 79 | 33 | 46 | 59 |
3 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 44 | 31 | 13 | 56 |
4 | Freiburg | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 56 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 54 | 37 | 17 | 54 |
6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 53 | 41 | 12 | 48 |
7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 49 | 40 | 9 | 45 |
8 | Wolfsburg | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 43 |
9 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 50 | 46 | 4 | 43 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 36 |
11 | FC Koln | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 40 | 48 | -8 | 35 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 48 | 58 | -10 | 35 |
13 | Augsburg | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 55 | -16 | 31 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 29 |
15 | Stuttgart | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 28 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 30 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 28 |
17 | Schalke 04Schalke | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 28 | 57 | -29 | 27 |
18 | Hertha Berlin | 29 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 35 | 59 | -24 | 22 |
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