Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 53.9%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 20.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.06%) and 1-2 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Coritiba win it was 1-0 (7.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Flamengo in this match.
