Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 39.43%. A win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 33.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest San Lorenzo win was 1-0 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.