Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Independiente and Deportivo La Guaira.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: San Lorenzo 1-1 Independiente
Saturday, June 4 at 6pm in Argentine Primera Division
Saturday, June 4 at 6pm in Argentine Primera Division
Next Game: Independiente vs. Talleres
Saturday, June 11 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Saturday, June 11 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 19 | Arsenal Sarandi | 12 | 0 | 13 |
| 20 | Independiente | 13 | -4 | 13 |
| 21 | Velez Sarsfield | 12 | -2 | 12 |
Last Game: Deportivo 0-1 General Caballero JLM
Thursday, May 26 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Thursday, May 26 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 52.98%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Deportivo La Guaira had a probability of 20.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a Deportivo La Guaira win it was 0-1 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Independiente | Draw | Deportivo La Guaira |
52.98% ( -0.2) | 26.47% ( 0.07) | 20.54% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 42.77% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
