Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Deportivo La Guaira and Ceara.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Deportivo La Guaira had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.07%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest Deportivo La Guaira win was 1-0 (10.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ceara would win this match.
