Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 52.88%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Rentistas had a probability of 21.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.57%) and 1-2 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Rentistas win it was 1-0 (7.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.