Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 38.91%. A win for Rentistas had a probability of 33.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Rentistas win was 1-0 (10.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
