Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Ceara and Independiente.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 52.13%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 20.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.97%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Independiente win it was 0-1 (8.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ceara would win this match.
